GIS | ISSUES | The Ohio State University

Beyond Urban–Rural Binaries: Remote Sensing Indicators of Built Environment Risk for Firearm Injury in Cook County, Illinois

Wed, 22 Oct 2025 00:00:00 +0000

Presented at the 2025 National Research Conference for the Prevention of Firearm-Related Harms, this study develops a remote-sensing–based framework to identify built environment risk factors for firearm injury in Cook County, Illinois. Using satellite-derived indicators of nighttime light intensity, impervious surface coverage, vegetation (NDVI), and built-up density merged with firearm injury data from 2020–2024, we fit spatial random forest models and Bayesian spatial Poisson models to quantify environmental predictors of firearm harm.

Findings show that built environment characteristics—rather than traditional urban–rural categories—more accurately distinguish high-risk census tracts. High built-up intensity, fragmented greenness, and asymmetric nighttime activity remain strong predictors even after accounting for area-level deprivation. These results demonstrate the utility of remote sensing for identifying structural vulnerability and guiding place-based firearm injury prevention.

📄 Presentation

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GIS Day 2025

Wed, 22 Oct 2025 00:00:00 +0000

Congratulations to our undergraduates Oliva McLucas and Malcolm McCarthy for their abstracts accepted to the 2025 GIS Day at The Ohio State University on November 19, 2025.

Olivia McLucas: Introducing a Spatial Adverse Childhood Environments Index using Geographical Information Systems We extend the cumulative Adverse Childhood Experiences (ACEs) framework to the neighborhood scale with spACEs (Spatial Adverse Childhood Environments), an index of structural disadvantage in childhood. The spACES index is constructed from county-level measures in the 1990 Census, including poverty, educational attainment, employment structure, housing burden, single-parent prevalence, and racial residential segregation, which reflect the environments in which the Opportunity Atlas birth cohorts (children born 1978 to 1985) were raised. The Opportunity Atlas links childhood places of residence to adult outcomes, capturing household income rank, educational attainment, incarceration, and family formation (2010-2015), as well as credit outcomes (2020). Using GIS, we visualize geographic variation in spACEs and assess its association with long-term adult outcomes. We propose spACEs as a revised measure of childhood structural adversity that captures the enduring impact of neighborhood disadvantage across the life course.

McCarthy, M.: Mapping Traumatic Brain Injury using Geographic Information Systems Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is a critical public health problem linked to numerous mechanisms, including unintentional injuries such as falls and motor vehicle crashes and intentional injuries such as assaults. Despite the magnitude of this burden, no research has systematically examined the geographic distribution of TBI hospitalizations and their county-level correlates. We utilize county-level hospitalization data from the Washington State Department of Health, filtered to include all TBI-related admissions by year. These records are linked to the Area Deprivation Index (ADI) for the period 2016–2023, encompassing domains of economic hardship and inequality, educational attainment, and financial strength. The merged dataset enables the analysis of spatial and temporal patterns of TBI hospitalization risk and tests whether county-level social and economic disadvantage is associated with higher rates of TBI hospitalization. Using GIS visualization and regression models, we demonstrate how community structural conditions shape the distribution of TBI and inform strategies for prevention.

The presentations will be made available after the conference.

IPR Seminar Series: Accessibility to Abortion Services, Maternal Vulnerability, and Birth Outcomes

Tue, 10 Mar 2026 12:30:00 +0000

Dr. Gia Barboza-Salerno will present at the Institute for Population Research (IPR) Seminar Series on Tuesday, March 10, 2026.

Presentation Details

Title: Accessibility to Abortion Services, Maternal Vulnerability, and Birth Outcomes

Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
Time: 12:30 - 1:30 PM
Location: Townshend Hall, room 038, 1885 Neil Ave Mall and Zoom

Registration: Register for Zoom access

Abstract

Does spatial accessibility to abortion care intersect with maternal vulnerability to shape adverse birth outcomes? In the post-Dobbs landscape, access to abortion services has become increasingly uneven, with substantial geographic barriers emerging across large portions of the state. This study examines whether spatial constraints on abortion access align with community-level maternal vulnerability and how these structural conditions are associated with adverse birth outcomes.

The study uses a novel Maternal Vulnerability Index (MVI), a validated, census-tract-level measure that captures multidimensional drivers of poor maternal health, including:

Healthcare access
Reproductive health resources
Physical and mental health
Environmental conditions
Socioeconomic disadvantage

Geographic information systems (GIS) and multimodal transportation network modeling are used to quantify travel burden, service deserts, and spatial accessibility to abortion. These spatial access measures are then linked to adverse birth outcomes (e.g., preterm birth), to assess whether communities facing greater abortion access constraints experience elevated perinatal risk.

By situating abortion accessibility within a comprehensive measure of maternal vulnerability, this study highlights how geographic and structural inequities in reproductive healthcare access may contribute to persistent disparities in maternal and infant health.

Living Here Predicts How You Will Die: Neighborhood Context and Mortality Patterns

Wed, 04 Feb 2026 00:00:00 +0000

Abstract

Understanding how neighborhood context shapes patterns of death is critical to identifying the spatial distribution of health inequities. Medical examiner data contain rich narrative descriptions of causes and circumstances of death that are often absent from clinical records and can offer novel insights for public health prevention.

This study integrates Geographic Information Systems (GIS), machine learning (ML), and natural language processing (NLP) frameworks to demonstrate how neighborhood clustering and predictive text analytics can jointly reveal spatially stratified mortality patterns to examine how structural neighborhood conditions predict not only whether but how people die, thereby advancing geographically tailored public health insights.

Methods

Tract-level mortgage lending and demographic data were integrated with narrative cause-of-death records from the Cook County Medical Examiner. A GIS-informed machine learning framework was used to classify neighborhood context and link it to mortality patterns in Cook County, Illinois.

Using tract geometries from the American Community Survey (ACS) 2020 and integrating:

2018 racial/ethnic composition
Median household income
Shifts in mortgage lending by borrower race/ethnicity and income from HMDA
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

A standardized feature set capturing racial/ethnic composition, economic resources, and structural change in lending markets was constructed. Unsupervised machine learning methods with gap statistics were used to derive five interpretable neighborhood clusters.

Text descriptions from cause-of-death fields were cleaned, lemmatized, and harmonized into medical concepts, then summarized by cluster using frequency and tf–idf contrasts.

Key Findings

The five neighborhood clusters showed distinct mortality profiles that mirrored structural conditions:

Disinvested Black neighborhoods: Marked by violence and street-level drug toxicity
Affluent White enclaves: Reflected prescription/synthetic drug deaths and self-harm
Latino working-class areas: Exhibited mixed patterns of chronic disease, injury, and substance involvement
White-Latino transition neighborhoods: Dominated by chronic illness and degenerative diseases
Lower-income Black neighborhoods: Burdened by chronic illness, degenerative diseases, infectious causes, and substance-related mortality

Predictive Modeling Results

Penalized logistic regression models (glmnet) were used to predict cluster membership from:

Text alone
Covariates (income, rent, poverty, age, gender)
Both combined

Key Results:

Text features exhibited high sensitivity across clusters
Socioeconomic covariates improved specificity, particularly in affluent White enclaves
Combined models (text + covariates) achieved the highest overall accuracy
Performance varied by cluster: affluent White enclaves were well distinguished by socioeconomic covariates, while text features more easily identified disinvested Black and lower-income Black neighborhoods

Research Questions

RQ1: Can neighborhood structural typologies derived from mortgage lending and demographic patterns be meaningfully linked to cause-of-death narratives?

RQ2: Does narrative text from Medical Examiner death records improve prediction of neighborhood typology?

Conclusions

These results highlight how integrating structured tract-level data with unstructured death narratives uncovers not only place-based disparities in mortality risk, but also systematic differences in how death is recorded across structurally distinct neighborhoods.

Five neighborhood clusters were identified using k-means clustering on tract-level indicators. Penalized logistic regression models demonstrated that:

Combined text and covariate models achieved the highest accuracy across most neighborhood types
Narrative language varied systematically by neighborhood type, reflecting place-based inequality in death documentation

Topics: Mortality patterns, neighborhood effects, health inequities, machine learning, natural language processing, GIS, medical examiner data, Cook County

Living Here Predicts How You’ll Die: Linking Death Narratives to Neighborhood Economic Disinvestment with Unsupervised Machine Learning

Wed, 19 Nov 2025 12:00:00 +0000