Balaji Ramesh | ISSUES | The Ohio State University

Development and Spatial Validation of a Random Forest Prediction Model for Firearm-Related Injury Risk in Chicago Census Tracts

Wed, 01 Jan 2025 00:00:00 +0000

Plain-Language Summary

This study describes the development and validation of a machine learning model (random forest) to predict the risk of firearm-related injuries across Chicago neighborhoods. By combining multi-source data, including local crime reports, socioeconomic vulnerabilities, and environmental exposures, the model maps out areas with the highest predicted risk.

The model’s predictions were validated against actual administrative records to verify its spatial accuracy. This predictive modeling framework shows how machine learning can help public health officials and community organizations anticipate high-risk spatial hot spots and deploy community-based interventions more effectively.

Street-View Measures of Urban Greenness, Area-Level Deprivation, and the Risk of Firearm-Related Homicide: A Matched Case-Control Study

Wed, 01 Jan 2025 00:00:00 +0000

Plain-Language Summary

This study examined how pedestrian-level green space relates to firearm-related and natural deaths in Cook County, Illinois, using a matched case-control design. Various greenness measures, including street-view green imagery, tree canopy coverage, and green space along walkable streets, were inversely associated with firearm homicide risk. Protective effects of tree canopy and localized greenery were stronger in less deprived neighborhoods, while neighborhood racial composition influenced the relationship between park proximity and homicide risk. Overall, street-level green space is linked to lower homicide odds and may offer greater protection in vulnerable communities.